Tropical disturbance forms in Caribbean

A tropical disturbance in the Caribbean has formed just east of Cuba, near Haiti.

The system is expected to move to the northeast, on a trajectory that would take it over the Turks and Caicos Islands and then south of Bermuda.

The National Hurricane Center said at 8 a.m. Thursday that conditions are not expected to be conducive to development, resulting in a 10% chance of development in the next seven days.

According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, sea-surface temperatures in the Caribbean Basin, especially the eastern Caribbean, are currently about 2 degrees C warmer than the 1991-to-2020 average for this date in May.

Sea-surface temperatures in the Caribbean also are warmer than the average August through October temperatures from 1990 to 2020.