Brown leading Moreno by 4 points in Senate race: Poll

Ohio Sen. Sherrod Brown (D) leads his Republican opponent Bernie Moreno by 4 points in a race that could help decide which party controls the Senate, according to a new poll. 

The poll from AARP released Thursday showed Brown ahead with 46 percent support to Moreno’s 42 percent, while 11 percent were undecided and 1 percent supported another candidate. Pollsters found Brown ahead with certain key constituencies contributing to his narrow lead. 

Moreno led Brown by just 2 points among voters aged 50 and older, who are the most committed age group to voting in November with 94 percent of them saying so. But Brown led by 11 points among voters aged 18 to 49. 

And within the 50 and older age group, Moreno is ahead by 5 points among those 50 to 64, but Brown is up by 1 point among those 65 and older.

The incumbent also owes his lead to greater support among his own party than Moreno has and a lead among independents.

More than 90 percent of Democrats polled said they support Brown, while just over three quarters of Republicans said they support Moreno. 

Brown led among independents by 12 points, 46 percent to 34 percent, though 20 percent said they were undecided. 

Brown is running for another term in an increasingly red-leaning state that voted for former President Trump in 2016 and 2020. He has managed to hold on as his state has undergone political changes, but Republicans are hoping to take this opportunity to oust him. 

Still, polls have mostly shown potential good news for Brown, as the polling average from Decision Desk HQ and The Hill has him ahead of Moreno by nearly 5 points. 

The AARP poll was conducted from July 23 to 28 from interviews with 1,384 likely voters to reach a statewide representative sample of 600 likely voters for the poll’s results. The margin of error for the sample of 600 voters was 4 percentage points.