New model to enhance extreme rainfall prediction

New research by an international team of climate experts shows intense, localized, heavy bursts of rainfall can be caused by a rapid rise of air through clouds and proves that these rises in air can be forecast. The team has developed a unique, cutting-edge modeling system marking a fundamental change in how we identify and forecast life-threatening, short-duration, extreme rainfall. Better prediction of these intense downpours will help provide crucial time for communities to prepare for extreme weather which can lead to devastating flash floods such as was seen in Boscastle in August 2004 or London in August 2022.