Donald Trump Or Kamala Harris, Who Will Be Next US President? Expert Forecaster Allan Lichtman, Known For Accurate Predictions Answers

New Delhi: Nostradamus, Baba Vanga, and Paul the Octopus have never failed to amuse and surprise us with the predictions that they made decades, centuries ago. Paul the Octopus is an exception though for obvious reasons. Allan Lichtman is the latest to join the league. Let’s check out why.

We have the US presidential elections lurking and Donald Trump and Kamala Harris are leaving no chance to heat the campaign trail and get the states in their favour.

Allan Lichtman, who we mentioned above, is an American election forecaster known for accurate predictions about who will be the US president.

Allan Lichtman has predicted the 2024 elections and placed Democrat candidate and US vice-president Kamala Harris in the White House.

Allan Lichtman has correctly predicted the outcome of 9 out of the 10 most recent presidential elections, reports USA Today adding that Lichtman routinely provides political commentary and is best known for his election forecasting.

Lichtman has correctly predicted the outcome of almost every election over the past 50 years, except for 2000, in which Republican George W. Bush defeated Democrat Al Gore, says USA Today.

First reported by The New York Times, Lichtman said in a video that he based his prediction on 13 keys or “big picture true-false questions that tap into the strength and performance of the White House Party.”

What are the 13 keys?

1. The White House party gained House seats during the midterm elections.
2. The sitting president is running for reelection.
3. The White House party is avoiding a primary contest.
4. There is a third-party challenger.
5. The short-term economy is strong.
6. The long-term economic growth has been as good as the last two terms.
7. The White House party has made major changes to national policy.
8. There is sustained social unrest during the term.
9. The White House is untainted by scandal, the incumbent party is charismatic.
10. The challenger is uncharismatic.
11. The incumbent is charismatic.
12. The White House party has a major failure in foreign policy.
13. The White House party has foreign policy success.

Eight of the keys are in favor of Harris, while three are in favor of Trump.

“Foreign policy is tricky, and these keys could flip,” he said in the video.

“The Biden administration is deeply invested in the war in Gaza, which is a humanitarian disaster with no end in sight. But even if both foreign policy keys flipped false, that would mean that there were only five negative keys, which would not be enough for Donald Trump to regain the White House leaving Harris winning the White House. At least that’s my prediction for this race, but the outcome is up to you, so get out and vote,” says Lichtman as reported by USA Today.