Phillies NL East magic number down to single digits

Updated following all relevant results on Sept. 10, 2024.

The Phillies are getting closer to winning their first National League East title since 2011.

In addition to winning the division, the Phillies would like to finish with one of the two best records among National League division winners to skip the wild card round and start the postseason with home-field advantage in the Division Series. Ideally, the Phillies would like to finish with the best record in the majors to secure home field advantage for the entirety of the postseason.

The Phillies, at 88-58 and 16 games left, have an eight-game lead over the New York Mets in the NL East. The Phillies also have a 4.5-game lead over the Milwaukee Brewers for a first-round bye. They have a one-game lead over the Los Angeles Dodgers for the best record in MLB.

Remaining Schedule

• 3 vs. NYM
• 3 @ MIL
• 4 @ NYM
• 3 vs. CHC
• 3 @ WSH

Relevant Phillies Tiebreakers

The first tiebreaker in MLB is head-to-head record. The second is record within the division and the third is record against other National League teams not in the same division.

• The Phillies’ record against NL East teams is 25-17.
• The Phillies have won the tiebreaker over the Los Angeles Dodgers (5-1).
• The Phillies have lost the tiebreaker over the Atlanta Braves (6-7).
• The Phillies lead the Milwaukee Brewers in the season series 3-0 with three head-to-head games left to play.
• The Phillies lead the New York Mets in the season series 4-2 with seven head-to-head games left to play.
• The Phillies have won the tiebreaker over the San Diego Padres (5-1).
• The Phillies have lost the tiebreaker over the Arizona Diamondbacks (3-4).

Other Relevant National League Tiebreakers

• The Braves and Mets are tied 5-5 in the season series with three head-to-head games left to play.
• The Padres and Diamondbacks are tied 5-5 in the season series with three head-to-head games left to play.
• The Braves have the tiebreaker against the Diamondbacks, but not against the Padres.
• The Mets have the tiebreaker over the Diamondbacks and Padres.
• The Brewers lost the tiebreaker to the Dodgers 3-4. If the Phillies win one more game against the Brewers this season and the Phillies, Brewers and Dodgers all win their respective divisions, but finish with the same record, the Phillies would be the No. 1 seed in the National League. The Dodgers would have the No. 2 seed.

Magic Numbers

• The Phillies’ magic number to clinch a postseason berth is 8.
• The Phillies’ magic number to clinch the National League East is 9.
• The Phillies’ magic number to clinch a bye to the Division Series is 13.

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