Gold Derby Oscar predictions 2025: ‘The Brutalist’ enters Top 5 lineups for director Brady Corbet, supporting actress Felicity Jones [Updated September 23]
If the 2025 Oscars nominations were announced today, what would Gold Derby predict as the nominees and winners? Our predictions center officially opened on July 1, 2024 and already more than 4,000 people have made their forecasts in the categories for picture, directing, acting, writing and animation. So who’s out front to claim these golden trophies, according to the Gold Derby Oscar predictions 2025?
Below, see a snapshot in time of our racetrack odds for the 97th Academy Awards, updated on September 23, 2024. See how the odds and rankings have changed over time by examining our previous Oscar snapshots on July 3, July 9, July 16, July 23, July 29, August 6, August 19, August 28, September 11 and September 19.
Now expected to receive a nomination since the last update: Brady Corbet in Best Director for A24’s Holocaust film “The Brutalist”; Felicity Jones in Best Supporting Actress for portraying Erzsébet Tóth, wife of Adrien Brody‘s László Tóth, in “The Brutalist”; and “Wallace and Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl” in Best Animated Feature.
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Gold Derby’s Academy Awards odds are based on the combined forecasts of Experts we’ve polled from major media outlets, Editors who cover awards year-round for this website, Top 24 Users who did the best predicting the winners last time, All-Star Users who had the best prediction scores over the last two years, and the mass of Users who make up our biggest predictions bloc. We will continue to update the Oscar predictions center whenever new information is provided to us by the studios/campaigners.
BEST PICTURE
Predicted Nominees
1. “Anora” — 8/1
2. “Conclave” — 17/2
3. “Emilia Perez” — 9/1
4. “Dune: Part Two” — 19/2
5. “Sing Sing” — 19/2
6. “Blitz” — 10/1
7. “The Brutalist” — 23/2
8. “Nickel Boys” — 15/1
9. “Gladiator II” — 20/1
10. “A Complete Unknown” — 35/1
Predicted Spoilers
“The Piano Lesson,” The Life of Chuck,” “A Real Pain,” “The Room Next Door,” “Saturday Night,” “September 5,” “Joker: Folie à Deux”
See more Best Picture contenders …
BEST DIRECTOR
Predicted Nominees
1. Sean Baker (“Anora”) — 9/2
2. Steve McQueen (“Blitz”) — 6/1
3. Jacques Audiard (“Emilia Perez”) — 13/2
4. Brady Corbet (“The Brutalist”) — 15/2
5. Edward Berger (“Conclave”) — 15/2
Predicted Spoilers
Denis Villeneuve (“Dune: Part Two”), Ridley Scott (“Gladiator II”), RaMell Ross (“Nickel Boys”), Greg Kwedar (“Sing Sing”), Pedro Almodovar (“The Room Next Door”)
See more Best Director contenders …
BEST ACTRESS
Predicted Nominees
1. Mikey Madison (“Anora”) — 4/1
2. Karla Sofia Gascon (“Emilia Perez”) — 5/1
3. Angelina Jolie (“Maria”) — 6/1
4. Amy Adams (“Nightbitch”) — 8/1
5. Nicole Kidman (“Babygirl”) — 23/2
Predicted Spoilers
Saoirse Ronan (“The Outrun”), Marianne Jean-Baptiste (“Hard Truths”), Tilda Swinton (“The Room Next Door”), Julianne Moore (“The Room Next Door”), Demi Moore (“The Substance”)
See more Best Actress contenders …
BEST ACTOR
Predicted Nominees
1. Ralph Fiennes (“Conclave”) — 4/1
2. Colman Domingo (“Sing Sing”) — 4/1
3. Adrien Brody (“The Brutalist”) — 11/2
4. Timothee Chalamet (“A Complete Unknown”) — 11/2
5. Daniel Craig (“Queer”) — 15/2
Predicted Spoilers
John David Washington (“The Piano Lesson”), Joaquin Phoenix (“Joker: Folie à Deux”), Sebastian Stan (“The Apprentice”), Paul Mescal (“Gladiator II”), Sebastian Stan (“A Different Man”)
See more Best Actor contenders …
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Predicted Nominees
1. Danielle Deadwyler (“The Piano Lesson”) — 39/10
2. Zoe Saldana (“Emilia Perez”) — 4/1
3. Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor (“Nickel Boys”) — 15/2
4. Isabella Rossellini (“Conclave”) — 17/2
5. Felicity Jones (“The Brutalist”) — 11/1
Predicted Spoilers
Selena Gomez (“Emilia Perez”), Saoirse Ronan (“Blitz”), Lady Gaga (“Joker: Folie à Deux”), Joan Chen (“Didi”), Natasha Lyonne (“His Three Daughters”)
See more Best Supporting Actress contenders …
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Predicted Nominees
1. Kieran Culkin (“A Real Pain”) — 5/1
2. Clarence Maclin (“Sing Sing”) — 5/1
3. Guy Pearce (“The Brutalist”) — 13/2
4. Stanley Tucci (“Conclave”) — 8/1
5. Denzel Washington (“Gladiator II”) — 18/1
Predicted Spoilers
Samuel L. Jackson (“The Piano Lesson”), Mark Hamill (“The Life of Chuck”), Edward Norton (“A Complete Unknown”), John Lithgow (“Conclave”), Harris Dickinson (“Blitz”)
See more Best Supporting Actor contenders …
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Predicted Nominees
1. “Sing Sing” — 4/1
2. “Conclave” — 4/1
3. “Nickel Boys” — 6/1
4. “Dune: Part Two” — 19/2
5. “The Piano Lesson” — 14/1
Predicted Spoilers
“The Room Next Door,” “The Life of Chuck,” “Nightbitch,” “Queer,” “A Complete Unknown”
See more Best Adapted Screenplay contenders …
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Predicted Nominees
1. “Anora” — 37/10
2. “Blitz” — 11/2
3. “A Real Pain” — 13/2
4. “The Brutalist” — 7/1
5. “Saturday Night” — 9/1
Predicted Spoilers
“Hard Truths,” “September 5,” “The Seed of the Sacred Fig,” “The Substance,” “Challengers”
See more Best Original Screenplay contenders …
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Predicted Nominees
1. “The Wild Robot” — 7/2
2. “Inside Out 2” — 39/10
3. “Memoir of a Snail” — 9/2
4. “Flow” — 13/2
5. “Wallace and Gromit: Vengeance Most Fowl” — 9/1
Predicted Spoilers
“Moana 2,” “Piece by Piece,” “Lord of the Rings: The War of the Rohirrim,” “Transformers One,” “Despicable Me 4”
See more Best Animated Feature contenders …
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