A sluggish economy and rising costs have led to a double-digit insolvency rate
The number of corporate bankruptcies in Germany has soared over the past year, the Federal Statistical Office (Destatis) reported on Thursday. The trend has been attributed to weak economic performance and rising costs in the EU’s largest economy.
According to preliminary data, the number of regular insolvencies filed in Germany rose by 22.9% in October 2024 compared to the same month of last year.
Except for June 2024 (which saw an increase of 6.3%), the corporate bankruptcy growth rate has been in the double-digit range since June 2023, the press release said.
As of August, the transport and warehousing sector accounted for most insolvencies, followed by the hospitality industry, Destatis noted.
“The current wave of bankruptcies is the result of a perfect storm of long-term economic weakness and drastically increased costs,” Der Spiegel quoted Steffen Müller from the Leibniz Institute for Economic Research Halle (IWH) as saying.
A total of 20,000 company bankruptcies are expected in Germany in 2024, up from 17,814 in 2023, the outlet wrote, citing analysts.
In October, preliminary data from the statistics office showed that the economy expanded by 0.2% in the third quarter from the previous three months, narrowly dodging a projected 0.1% decline and a slide into a technical recession.
The figure was described as “a ray of hope” by Economy Minister Robert Habeck.
A recession is normally defined as two consecutive quarters of economic contraction. In April-June, GDP shrank by 0.1%.
In 2023, the German economy went through a recession, posting an overall decline of 0.3%. In its latest economic forecast, the European Commission stated that this year activity was expected to edge down by 0.1% due to weak domestic and foreign demand for manufacturing goods, combined with high uncertainty.
Germany has struggled with high energy costs following the drastic reduction of pipeline gas supplies from Russia in 2022 and rising foreign competition.
According to Alexander Krueger, chief economist at Frankfurt-based private bank Hauck Aufhaeuser Lampe, “The growth outlook is somewhere between stagnation and a snail's pace.”
