The US global retreat does not end with Afghanistan – Europe is next in line

МОСКВА, 02 сентября 2021, Институт РУССТРАТ. The hasty flight of Americans from Afghanistan is not the only place on the planet where America is collapsing. This is gradually happening "on all fronts" and in many planes. It's just that in this case, we saw a natural avalanche-like process that passed its point of no return, highlighting the very essence of the American approach and real opportunities in this part of the Eurasian continent. Somewhere there are still more similar opportunities and, in fact, similar processes of curtailing American influence are furnished with a beautiful picture. As in the same Eastern Europe, where the former hegemon makes a good face at a bad game. Handing Berlin the keys to this region, in fact, is its folding there, which was recorded by the signing of the "Washington Declaration" of July 21 between Biden and Merkel, during the German Chancellor's visit to Washington. The appointment of a new "main ally and friend" during the Biden Euro tour received a logical continuation. The abandoned "English poodle" is beside itself with rage and tries to grab the desired pieces torn out of his mouth. The tone of its press and the statements of politicians on sharpness and “plain truth" is off the scale, leaving "Skabeyev and Solovyov” far behind. There are a lot of interesting points in the final document of the German-American agreement itself. The "Three Seas Initiative" is transferred to the jurisdiction of Germany, and from now on these purely Polish phantom-imperial wishlist is under German audit and financing. And who wines a girl, then dines her. Extending further to the east, Ukraine is given to the Germans, which is mentioned in the text more than a dozen times. In return, Berlin (read – the European Union), among other things, makes a final U-turn from China, with which a global investment agreement was signed on the eve of Biden's inauguration. This was announced immediately through Finnish Foreign Minister Pekka Haavist to Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi: "there are currently no prerequisites for moving forward on the issue of an investment agreement." This, translated from diplomatic language, means "there will be no ratification, do not wait, this is the final decision". In this regard, and against the background of everything that is happening, it is interesting to further analyse the topic raised by RUSSTRAT on the eve of the Russian-American summit. On the eve of it, we revealed that the main leitmotif for the Americans should be the coercion of Ukraine to Minsk, which was confirmed by all further actions and signals. After the US-German "overseas pact" signed on July 21 and the "collusion behind Ukraine's back", such signals continued to sound like a tocsin in the direction of Kiev. The general position was given to the German Foreign Ministry to announce the next day: "Ukraine must also fulfil its obligations, for example, regarding the inclusion of what is known as the Steinmeier formula in Ukrainian legislation." According to many such signals, it is obvious that the topic of the Minsk agreements runs like a red thread through all these visits of Biden and Merkel that have gained momentum. Having begun on the eve of the Russian-American summit, having gained a foothold on its margins, the topic was developed at meetings in Washington, Moscow, and then in Kiev. Angela Merkel's visit to Kiev on August 22, although it was a farewell and ceremonial, still pursued certain goals. Among other things, Merkel was going to create prerequisites for the implementation of the Steinmeier formula. The formula is revealed through more detailed clusters. And, as it is capitalised in the voluminous joint Franco-German document on these positions, nothing can be added to the clusters, which contradicts the Minsk Agreements. As part of the farewell ceremony, of course, we could not expect any serious breakthroughs. And so it happened. But this time “Mutter” was holding a very heavy stick and carrot behind her back, which were to play a role in the future. The keys handed over in Washington implied the creation and management of the Ukrainian green energy fund, the scope and capabilities of which are as vague as all this green globalist bacchanalia is vague and not substantive at all. The subject is only money and the levers of influence that arise during their distribution and development. As part of the Ukrainian theme, the hydrogen energy bug, according to the idea, should materialise not only in orders for the German industry for the notorious green needs of Ukraine. The very topic of transit after 2024, the environmental friendliness and safety of the "independent GTS" should lead to its "dependence". You want guaranteed transit? We are ready to invest in your junk, which requires multibillion-dollar investments. Let's create a joint consortium. And we don't mind connecting overseas. We will make a selection and calculation right on the border with the "aggressor". And we will repair the branches from the main arms leading to local consumers. And why not? You will not find such final prices anywhere in Europe, they did not think of it even before that. It is Ukraine that has been subjected to the life-giving power of reforms, and somewhere in the Bavarian region it is far from this. The people there are not so advanced, they will sweep away any government after such fabulous changes. In the same place, everything is the old-fashioned way, they buy gas under long-term contracts, for example, for the Germans it is around $180 per thousand cubic meters. If the summer is too hot or the winter is too cold, then yes, it’s possible to make up for the lack at market prices for $400-500. And only an Outskirts (Ukraine) that is advanced in reforms allows itself to pass the entire volume at these prices. That's where there is room for competent management, including American, and other reversals! What are you saying? Why are there no direct contracts? Well, how can you have anything to do with the "aggressor"! We don't even use its gas. But the necessary condition for such a “#fabulousBali" is stability and predictability, which is, well, impossible without the implementation of Minsk. Here is such a carrot and such a stick, such a "das ist fantastisch". So it is so, and even the necessary profile ministers of these supervising countries turned out to be on the "Crimean semi-platform“, continuing to brainwash Ukraine further on the topic. And the representatives overseeing from America and Germany after the "overseas collusion" have already been appointed. The American general "chief manager", who stands at the origins of all these flows and reverse schemes. That is, deep in the topic, which means that he knows what levers and compromising materials should be used. And there are clear deadlines for an interim report before flogging on the carpet in the Oval Office. And this visit itself, which can not be called anything other than the flogging of a guilty schoolboy, should take place under such a hidden agenda. It is hidden, because nothing should violate the wonderful logic of fake reality in the Western information bubble. And Nuland, and Blinken, and Kerry will be connected again. There are a dozen more such "and". They are very weighty, even look like an inexorable steamroller. But there are vague doubts based on the fact that to fulfil Minsk for the current post-Maidan regime means to shoot oneself not even in the leg, but in the head. It is still possible to imagine that someone shot themselves in the leg in order to avoid falling under an asphalt paver. But in another case... it’s a catch-22 situation. For the Kremlin, there are advantages in any variants of the development of events. A big fat plus is seen in the fact that Ukraine was given to the Germans. They are our natural geopolitical support in Europe. Of course, it is still very far from the idealistic picture that high-ranking nationally oriented German politicians drew for themselves in the early noughties. At that time, in their public statements it often slipped through that "finally, Germany and Russia will be able to reach a completely new level of partnership, interrupted by two world wars”. Public, but by no means in the central press, which lies completely under the occupation levers, such as the “Atlantic Bridge” and many others. There were no less, but even greater expectations on our part. Such levers were used to pull us apart, having achieved certain success. We have not yet succeeded in joint grandiose plans, although we have made partial progress in some areas. Now the field for joint actions is expanding, albeit on a competitive basis - how without it? All this “cordon sanitaire", which cut us off from Europe (from Germany, first of all), is now under a serious "Mueller cap". Whether Germany will begin to pull it off, especially under the new leadership – is the question. Mutter Merkel, due to her personal scale, was suitable for such a role of "Mueller", what is the scale of Laschet, without talking about the leaders from the SPD – we will see. Not unimportant is the factor of Britain, which has already got, albeit not globally, into this mythical "Three Seas Initiative". Their confrontation with the Germans will inevitably increase, which, again, is in our favour. The British climb wherever Uncle Sam retreats, and the Outskirts are no exception. In this regard, Zelensky's "exit" at a joint press conference with Merkel is indicative. "You don't give us weapons,"he cried,"but they turned to Great Britain, so they give them”. This is generally beyond the bounds of reason, beyond any diplomatic etiquette and is more like the hysteria of a capricious child, which is what the post-Maidan Ukrainian elite is. Kiev was already hysterical and took evasive action in the face of Zelensky, having been flogged for failing to fulfil Minsk by Macron at the Elysee Palace, promising to go completely to the Americans. But then Uncle Sam broke down - bring us a new one, and on the horizon of a fragile consciousness a new parent dawned, who, in the children's opinion, should solve all problems. Serious uncles and aunts from the West undertook to oblige a young imbecile to do his homework, which they can not do. And we are already beginning to have certain reasonable questions for them. This is also not without benefit for Russia and strengthens its position on the entire negotiation spectrum. And in the future, it may even untie our hands, but we will not run so far ahead. There is still such a point. Steamship factories (land-pipe) for big uncles and aunts are a profitable business. It is obvious to everyone who is more or less in the topic that even with the existing green bug, the topic of gas will only be revealed and revealed. This is a necessary counterweight for balancing unstable wind turbines and panels, otherwise it will be like in Texas. With hydrogen, too, everything is not so simple, especially in the unfolding crisis spiral. Although in the vastness of the "free and independent" German press, you can meet such politicians promoting this whole "brave new world" who do not understand what they are talking about at all. Their reasoning is at the "Greta level" and I don't know if they are foolishly, unknowingly broadcasting this, or floating in the existing trend, pronouncing the right words and phrases. In fact, in the "real reality", all streams (existing and future) will be pumped to the full. The Ukrainian pipe will also be useful if we objectively assess future needs, taking into account the catastrophic unplanned drop in our own production in Europe. So, to mix the seizure of profitable assets with the simultaneous setting of political demands, how much do they need it? If Kiev does not fall for all this construction, then adult uncles and aunts will not miss the benefit "from the sale of the rope on which they will be hanged." The second point, which has always been the main one, is that there is a limit to which you can put pressure on this imbecile. The child is being promoted by fake reality, plus it doesn't make sense to completely beat him with rods, otherwise why did they build this whole garden on Russian soil at all? So it turns out that with all the current activation around the Minsk Agreements, we are unlikely to see a linear development of events. Even on Zelensky's call to the Washington carpet. Of course, increased pressure can lead to certain shifts. On this topic, the Americans may have some moves and preparations, however, of dubious depth, like their entire current policy. But to finally push Kiev into the "abyss of Minsk" - we will look. They are getting weaker, their capabilities are objectively melting, pulling back and shouting "those whom they have tamed" have less and less weight. Yes, in any case, our common negotiating position will be strengthened, and time will show which of the household preparations we should "get out of the safe". And there we have everything for all occasions. Up to tough decisions in the not-so-distant historical perspective. In any case, we are seeing an increasing influence of Russia in the international arena. In the context of our topic, it was first reflected in the more tangible pressure of the European Berlin-Paris axis on Kiev to implement the Minsk Agreements. Up to strict requirements and ultimatums. Our power and international weight are moving further, and we see increasing attempts by our overseas partners to fulfil their obligations to us. Extrapolating the existing vector into the future, we can say with confidence that even if our partners are completely unable to solve these problems, we are able to solve them ourselves. According to the plans of the General Staff.