Indo-Pacific: the Djibouti of the Pacific: Multinational Forces to Compete For Dominance?

Members from the U.S. Air Force and Indonesian military participate in the exercise Cope West 18 (CW18) closing ceremony at Sam Ratulangi International Airport, Indonesia, March 23, 2018. CW18 is a Pacific Air Forces-sponsored, bilateral exercise involving the U.S. and Indonesian air forces and is designed to advance interoperability and build upon already established partnerships between the air forces. This year will mark the second time that U.S. fighter aircraft training has taken place in Indonesia in two decades and the sixth time Cope West has been hosted in Indonesia. (U.S. Air Force photo by Tech. Sgt. Richard Ebensberger)

OPINION: United Service Informing the defence and national security debate since 1947

For many years I have believed the Indonesian Archipelago  cannot be adequately defended against a perceived PLAN maritime intrusion. Indeed on a cruise aboard RCI Mariner of the Seas in April, 2015, our Indonesian stateroom attendant indicated he felt Natuna Island was gravely threatened. I’d never heard of Natuna Island before. But I did at the time feel that Indonesia had an inadequate navy with which to patrol and defend the partially enclosed seas within the 17,000 islands constituting the enormous archipelago.
Today, it appears Indonesia is fully aware of the threat and is rushing military assets to the region. Below, , an extract taken from the Journal of the Royal United Services Institute for Defence and Security Studies New South Wales Incorporated [March 2019] attests to not only a change in TNI policy, but a refocus on the imminent deployment of Indonesian military assets among islands in the archipelago. Clearly in an effort to blunt Chinese southward-thrusting strategic initiatives. Peter Leece is to be applauded for his insightful opinion.
Nonetheless, Biak Island puzzles me. Russia did deploy two nuclear-capable bombers to Mokmer AB near Biak which is a mere 851 miles from Darwin. “Two Russian Ilyushin-76 transporters carrying 81 personnel arrived on Biak island in Indonesian Papua on December 4 (sic: 2017), and were joined shortly after by a pair of Tu-95 bombers, bringing the total number of deployed troops to 110.” See note [1].
The Joint High-Speed Vessel USNS Millinocket (T-EPF-3) arrives in Subic Bay, Philippines, Nov. 21. Millinocket is assigned to Destroyer Squadron 7 in U.S. 7th Fleet area of responsibility, providing logistical solutions to the region’s littorals and working hull-to-hull with partner navies to provide 7th Fleet with the flexible capabilities it needs now and in the future. (U.S. Navy photo by Capt. Todd Kutkiewicz/Released)

Is Mokmer AB actually on Biak Island or is it on another island nearby? Whatever the answer, it seems Russia may also be going head-to-head with Indonesia?

Defense Secretary James N. Mattis talks with Indonesian Defense Minister Ryamizard Ryacudu at the Indonesian Defense Ministry in Jakarta, Jan. 23, 2018. DoD photo by Army Sgt. Amber I. Smith

Will we see a multi-national AB/naval base similar to that at Djibouti?

To my mind Sino-Russian co-operation is proven.

Indonesia, the TNI and regional security ( excerpt referred to above)

For the half-century following independence, the Indonesian National Armed Forces (Tentara Nasional Indonesia or TNI)1 focused on maintaining law and order across the archipelago of some 1700 islands and on security threats, such as piracy, in the Strait of Malacca.

That emphasis is now changing. Over the last decade or so since the restoration of democracy, the aspiration of national governments has been that the TNI should progressively transfer responsibility for internal security to the police services and instead focus outwards on national defence and regional security.

As a result of this policy change, significant steps are now being made in broadening the scope of the TNI from an internal security-focused land-based army into a regionally significant maritime power.

Concurrently, the TNI is strengthening its eastern flank in the Timor Sea, Arafura Sea, Celebes Sea and Pacific Ocean.

New bases are planned in eastern Indonesia with a view to forming a new Eastern Command, which would be the TNI’s third geographic command. In some quarters, this is referred to as ‘eastern balancing’.

Last December, Indonesia opened a new military base located strategically in the Natuna Islands in the South China Sea between Borneo and peninsula Malaysia.

The base will host composite battalions from the army and marines, as well as numerous advanced platforms from submarines, unmanned aerial vehicles and warships, to fighter jets, missile systems and supporting infrastructure.

The Natuna base will strengthen Indonesia’s position, including border security, in the North Natuna Sea and will facilitate force projection into the South China Sea.  It also will send a strong message to China.

China has some vaguely-defined territorial claims in the area and has been in dispute with Indonesia over illegal fishing by Chinese fishermen in Natuna Island waters, a dispute which flared in 2016 and 2017.

According to the Eurasian Review of 4 February 2019, Indonesia now plans to further strengthen its eastern flank by building bases for tri-service integrated units in Saumlaki, Morotai, Biak, and Merauke; and by establishing the 3rd Infantry Division (Army Strategic Reserve Command) in South Sulawesi, the Navy’s 3rd Armada Command and 3rd Marine Force in Western Papua, and the Air Force’s 3rd Operational Command in Papua.

Further, the number of major fleet units in the Navy is projected to increase to 12 submarines and 13 frigates/destroyers by 2025. These, though, are still early days.

As Indian defence analyst and retired vice-admiral, A. K. Singh, has advised the Institute’s special interest group on strategy, Indonesia will now need to invest much more in enhancing the numbers and combat capability of their navy and air force, while also increasing maritime co-operation with India, Australia and other neighbours.

Sgt. First Class Shaine Harris, a flight medic with C Company, 1-52 General Support Aviation Battalion, 16th Combat Aviation Battalion, prepares to demonstrate the UH-60L Black Hawk’s hoist Aug. 24 in Thailand’s Lopburi province during Hanuman Guardian 2018. The training was part of a four-day tactical combat casualty care class between the Washington Army National Guard’s Special Operations Detachment – Pacific Soldiers and Royal Thai Army rangers. More than 500 U.S. Army, Army National Guard and Royal Thai Army Soldiers are participating in the 11-day bilateral exercise that demonstrates the U.S. and Kingdom of Thailand’s commitment to its longstanding alliance while also strengthening the capabilities of both forces.

Nevertheless, the Natuna base and the eastern balancing are important first steps. With our region increasingly the subject of great power competition, the emergence of Indonesia as a regional ally would be a welcome development.

Author: Dr David Leece PSM, RFD, ED

1. The TNI consists of the Army (TNI-AD), the Navy (TNI-AL) and Air Force (TNI-AU).

2. Dr David Leece, editor of United Service, is chair of the Institute’s Special Interest Group on Strategy. These are his personal views

Extract from the Journal of the Royal United Services Institute for Defence and Security Studies New South Wales Incorporated, Volume 70, No. 1, March 2019, – ISSN 1038 – 1554

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